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The Roth vs Traditional decision comes down to one question - will your tax rate be higher now or in retirement?
Vault & Compass

This is the question I get asked most by people in their 20s and 30s. Roth or Traditional? The financial planning industry has made this more complicated than it needs to be. It comes down to a single bet: do you think your tax rate will be higher now, or when you're withdrawing in retirement?
Traditional IRA:
Roth IRA:
It depends on your tax rates:
If Tax Rate Now = Tax Rate in Retirement: Traditional and Roth are mathematically equivalent.
If Tax Rate Now > Tax Rate in Retirement: Traditional wins (get deduction at high rate, pay at low rate).
If Tax Rate Now < Tax Rate in Retirement: Roth wins (pay tax at low rate now, avoid high rate later).
Roth IRA contribution limits:
Traditional IRA deductibility:
High earners can still get money into a Roth via the "backdoor":
This is legal and explicitly allowed by the IRS.
Yes, but the $7,500 annual limit ($8,600 if you're 50 or older) is combined across Traditional and Roth IRAs. You can't contribute $7,500 to each.
You CAN have both a 401(k) ($24,500 limit) and an IRA ($7,500 limit) in the same year.
If you're unsure, Roth is often the safer choice for younger investors. Tax rates are historically low, and having tax-free money in retirement gives you flexibility.
For peak earners, Traditional makes more sense - take the deduction at 32-37% now, withdraw at 12-22% in retirement.
Most people benefit from having both tax-deferred (Traditional) and tax-free (Roth) buckets in retirement.